Why the RNGR $2M Buyback Proposal Was Decided Early
RNGR-001 passed with a 12.39% TWAP spread. But the outcome was decided early. Pass-aligned volume in the pre-TWAP window built a lead that Fail-aligned activity could not overturn.
Decision Markets
Research on MetaDAO decision markets, proposals, pass edge, trading volume, conviction, outcomes, and governance activity across ownership coin ecosystems.
Volume is a Misleading Decision Market Signal
Volume is just how much capital traded. On its own it doesn't tell us why prices moved or whether they were resilient. Low volume can still be a high signal. High volume can be a low signal. Here's what actually matters.
Ranger Finance ICO Analysis: What the Numbers Behind the Headline Reveal
$86M committed. $8M accepted. 10.7x oversubscribed. But the headline numbers only tell part of the story. 01Resolved analyzed the Ranger Finance ICO and found what raw fundraising totals cannot capture.
Deconstructing TWAP: The Anatomy of a Decision Market
The TWAP mechanism transforms a price feed into an analytical tool. Pre-TWAP shows belief formation. The TWAP window shows belief enforcement. Late activity shows who cared enough to move outcomes. A full breakdown is on the 01Resolved blog.
Introducing 01Resolved Beta: An Analytics Layer for Ownership Coins and Decision Markets
Option 1
01Resolved Beta is live. An analytics layer for ownership coins and decision markets. Ecosystem overview, project financials, and decision market activity. The goal isn't more data. It's clear, contextual insight.